INSIGHT

How to mitigate construction risks and avoid disputes in pumped hydro projects

By Julian Berenholtz, Shirleen Kirk, Andrew McNeill, Jessie Kang
Batteries & storage Construction & major projects Energy Infrastructure & Transport Renewable Energy

Unique characteristics mean unique risks 15 min read

The sheer scale and duration of pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) projects leave them vulnerable to inflationary pressures, material shortages and labour constraints, especially in the current global climate. Unforeseen events such as the COVID pandemic and, most recently, the impacts of tumultuous geopolitics, can drive up costs and cause delays.

While this is a risk on all construction projects, the long lead-in times and technical complexities across numerous specialities make these projects especially vulnerable to high-value claims and the possibility of formal disputes processes.

In this Insight, we discuss some of the risks associated with PHES projects and how careful planning can help mitigate those risks and avoid resultant disputes.

Key takeaways

  • PHES projects offer viable and lucrative opportunities but have unique characteristics that can lead to challenges with the potential to cause lengthy, costly and complex disputes.
  • Some of the risks faced include that:
    • the nature of PHES projects (eg long lead-in times, technical complexities and specialised expertise and components) mean they are particularly vulnerable to the traditional construction disputes risks arising from delays, variations and latent conditions.
    • PHES projects face additional, specific disputes risks arising from factors such as:
      • the need for specialist, skilled labour and contractors (often, overseas specialists);
      • risks arising from unascertainable site and subsurface geological conditions; and
      • grid connection and interface risk.

Construction risks for PHES projects

PHES projects are complex and involve repurposing mines or creating reservoirs, significant tunnelling, the construction of underground turbine powerhouses and extensive civil works, often involving brownfield sites as well as mountainous and geologically challenging terrain.

Lead times and technical complexities

Complex projects with long construction durations are inherently more exposed to events that increase time and costs. Traditionally, contract risk allocation often relies on a lump sum pricing model, with contractors bearing most of the risk. However, contractors working under a hard dollar engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract are more likely to pursue claims for extensions of time and variations to bridge the gap between the contract price and actual costs.

Recognising this, developers should take proactive steps during the procurement stage to ensure contracts account for these risks. This starts with a realistic approach to cost and contracting models, factoring in potential cost escalations driven by supply chain volatility, workforce constraints, inflationary trends and external disruptions beyond the contractor’s control.

For example, parties can consider collaborative contract models (alliancing) to share risks and incentivise timely delivery. Contractors should consider negotiating price adjustment clauses such as rise and fall mechanisms to account for differences between the contract price and ultimate cost. These models can assist all parties to avoid costly and complex disputes about increased cost and delay.

Case study: Planned Queensland Hydro Project

The Borumba PHES project was initially estimated to cost $14.2 billion and expected to deliver electricity by 2030. The anticipated cost of the project has increased by $4 billion, bringing the total cost to over $18 billion.

A report analysing the project costs also found there was less than a 1% chance of the project being completed in time for its planned first power in 2030, with the new risk-adjusted completion date being July 2035—a three-year delay.

The report attributed the increase in time and costs to unrealistic assumptions.1
Site risks and subsurface geology

As with all civil tunnelling, the subsurface geological conditions can never be fully ascertained before construction begins, and unexpected conditions can present a major challenge. If issues arise, consequential design modifications, cost increases and delay can also lead to disputes.

Case study: Snowy 2.0 (NSW, Australia)

Snowy 2.0 is Australia’s largest PHES project, adding 2,000 MW of capacity to the existing Snowy Hydro scheme. The project includes 27km of headrace tunnels, an underground powerhouse cavern and upper and lower reservoirs connected via penstocks.

In 2022, during tunnelling works, unexpected conditions were encountered in Kosciuszko National Park. Reports noted unexpected rock composition varying from soft sandy ground to extremely hard rock. This resulted in delay to the progress of a TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine).2

Such issues demonstrate the importance of early and comprehensive geotechnical investigations, but even thorough investigation cannot fully eliminate the risks associated with unforeseen and difficult ground conditions.

Rather, the parties to a PHES construction contract need to be explicit and thorough in relation to the risk allocation between them arising from geological issues. The scope of the geotechnical investigations should include work to identify the full catalogue of risks or potential ground conditions. This should form the basis of a detailed and extensive risk allocation model. The risk distribution between the parties should be:

  • realistic and equitable: providing sufficient contingencies for when unforeseen ground conditions are encountered, and allowing works to progress unhindered; and
  • detailed and comprehensive: providing certainty of which party owns the cost and delay of latent conditions and eliminating the need to argue at every geotechnical surprise.

This can be achieved by incorporating a 'geological baseline report' into the contractual documents, to describe detailed ground conditions, knowns and unknowns and responsibility for the unexpected against the GBR and other reliance information on geotechnical conditions.

Grid connection and technology interface

Connecting PHES projects to the transmission network and grid also brings challenges. Not all risks can be eliminated. Parties should be prepared for complications arising from connection requirements and commissioning processes, which can lead to delay.

Case study: Limondale Solar Farm (Victoria and NSW, Australia)

The Limondale solar farm project is within the West Murray Zone covering Victoria and NSW. That region has been described in media reporting as 'troubled'3 and is generally considered a weak area of the Australian electricity grid, with other solar farms facing connection challenges.

The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) had imposed generation constraints in the region, due to concerns that the combined operations of several solar farms were a source of uncontrollable voltage oscillations.4 Those constraints were lifted in April 2020 through a collaborative effort to implement a new inverter solution.

The innovative solution and lifting of constraints by AEMO allowed projects to proceed, with media reporting that 45 other solar and wind projects had been put on pause due to AEMO's constraints. The registration of the Limondale Solar Farm in July 2020, which—once fully commissioned—will be one of the largest solar farms in the nation, marked a milestone for the region.

PHES projects in particular are highly complex, involving multiple interconnected systems:

  • civil infrastructure (dams, tunnels, reservoirs)
  • electromechanical systems (pumps, turbines, generators)
  • grid connection systems (substations, transformers, HV lines)
  • digital control systems (SCADA, communications, real-time monitoring).

Each of these components may be designed, built or supplied by different contractors/vendors. This introduces technology interface risks. If these components do not integrate smoothly, it could result in operational delays, cost overruns, disputes, system underperformance and/or regulatory scrutiny.5

Risks are not limited to the delivery stage, but subsist post-commissioning. One key example is the SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) system—the nerve centre of modern generators (including PHES facilities):

  • The SCADA system plays the key technological role in an array of critical operational matters, including monitoring real-time data (eg grid frequency), controlling operations (eg pumping or generating), and communicating with grid operators and balancing supply and demand. This, in turn, impacts the generator's compliance with the National Electricity Rules.
  • PHES is particularly sensitive to SCADA breakdown as an energy storage system (as well as a generator), which therefore plays a critical role in grid stability. Any malfunction or misalignment in the SCADA system can (for example) delay the facilities' response to grid demands, cause synchronisation issues with the transmission network and/or ultimately lead to the risk of grid instability.
  • While it is critical that the contractual matrix adequately assigns risk and liability in relation to the proper operation of SCADA, owners/developers also need to be cognisant of regulatory scrutiny. Non-compliance with SCADA obligations has been a key enforcement priority for the (AER) and has the potential to lead to enforcement action and regulatory penalties.

It is essential that the contractual frameworks include clear delineation of responsibilities between contractors, developers and transmission or distribution network operators. Interface agreements and strong technical governance frameworks reduce the risk of costly misalignments, post-commissioning disputes and regulatory investigations or enforcement.

Owners cannot contract out of regulatory requirements, but can have a sufficiently robust contractual liability and good governance framework to minimise the risk of system failure and regulatory breach.

Parties should prioritise early collaboration between technology providers, transmission network operators and AEMO, including for:

  • comprehensive testing of control systems prior to commissioning; and
  • contingency plans in place to address potential integration challenges as they arise.

Complex regulatory landscape for PHES projects

Developers and contractors must allow ample lead time for regulatory approvals for PHES projects, understanding local, state and federal overlays. Proactively allocating the risk of any regulatory delay can help avoid delay becoming a formal dispute.

Case study: Kidston PHES (Queensland, Australia)

The 250 MW Kidston Pumped Storage Hydro Project repurposes two disused gold mine pits as reservoirs in North Queensland.6

Genex's founder, Simon Kidston, recounted that it has taken a decade to get the Kidston Project to completion, citing long development lead times to obtain funding and approvals. Mr Kidston said it would be hard to speed up approvals for such complex projects.7

The progress of construction for PHES will also be impacted by environmental regulation. While surface and quarry works necessitate some disturbance of (non-native) areas, the development approval for all projects, including Kidston, will include specific requirements for where native vegetation clearing is required.8

 

Environmental regulation and water rights

The need for PHES projects to secure long-term water access and obtain environmental approvals poses unique hurdles. PHES reservoirs often intersect with sensitive ecosystems and require significant regulatory compliance. Understanding the local regulatory environment and building flexibility into project timelines and budgets is key to handling unforeseen environmental challenges.

Case study: Loch Ness Hydro Power Plant (Scotland)

The Loch Ness hydroelectric project, a proposed PHES facility on the shores of the world-famous Loch Ness in Scotland, has faced significant hurdles related to environmental regulations. The project, designed to harness the natural landscape to support the UK's renewable energy transition, is being subjected to rigorous scrutiny due to its potential impacts on local wildlife and the Loch’s historical and cultural significance. The plant would involve substantial alterations to the Loch Ness water system, potentially disrupting aquatic life.9

It appears that the project is facing delays as environmental regulators call for further studies on the impact of the project on both the local ecosystem and the cultural heritage of the area.10

Early stakeholder engagement (including Indigenous consultation) is crucial, and water rights should be clearly set out in the contract to prevent future disputes over usage fees, entitlements or community opposition. Conducting comprehensive environmental impact assessments early in the project lifecycle is also important to mitigate risks associated with regulatory delays. Engaging local communities, environmental NGOs and government agencies can help address concerns and build public support.

Case study: Vogelgrün dam (France)

Built in 1959, the dam boasted an electricity generation capacity of 140.4MW, but was torn down in recent years due to pressure from environmental activists who argued that the dam was obstructing the migratory patterns of local salmon.11
Indigenous land rights and environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues

Given the geographical scale and requirements for PHES projects, appropriate sites are often situated on or near to culturally significant sites and/or land subject to Indigenous claims. This means PHES developments are particularly susceptible to legal challenge to licences and approvals, on the basis that developers have failed to adequately consult with Indigenous stakeholders in satisfaction of domestic ESG regulations. This risk can materialise as a result of activism by public interest groups, formal complaints to regulators and/or judicial review proceedings. Efforts to address complaints by Indigenous stakeholders and consequent litigation will not only lead to inflated costs, but also likely disrupt the project or halt progress entirely.

Developers are also subject to stakeholder scrutiny for compliance with their own ESG policies, voluntary commitments and published representations, which may go further than domestic ESG regulations. Increasingly, stakeholders, shareholders and activists expect companies to align with both international laws and voluntary soft law standards like the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights (UNGPs).

In addition to project, legal and cost consequences, failure (or perceived failure) to comply with ESG policies and commitments can lead to reputational damage and loss of social license (ie support from the community).

Case study: Queensland Hydro Project

The project area for the Borumba PHES project holds significant cultural importance for the Kabi Kabi people, the traditional landowners.

The developer is reported to be in negotiations with the Kabi Kabi people, which may lead to the need to downsize the project to avoid sensitive sites.

As part of these negotiations, an Indigenous Land Use Agreement (ILUA) has been agreed between the Kabi Kabi people and the developer to allow exploratory works to be carried out.12

 

Case study: Barossa Gas Project (Northern Territory, Australia)

In 2022, Tiwi Island traditional owners filed a lawsuit against the developer and the National Offshore Petroleum Safety and Environmental Management Authority (NOPSEMA). They argued that the developer had failed to adequately consult them about the project's potential risks to their food sources and spiritual connection to the sea. In September 2022, the Federal Court ruled in favour of the traditional owners, invalidating the developer's drilling approval and ordering the cessation of drilling activities.13 The developer was required to resubmit fresh approvals and was only able to recommence in early 2024 after almost 16 months of delay and another round of litigation with the Tiwi Island traditional owners.14

Contracts should be clear around who bears the cost and time risks associated with any legal challenges. In order to mitigate against time and cost implications of potential challenges, it is essential that parties consult traditional owners early and transparently, and engage compliance policies to ensure ESG regulations and internal ESG policies and commitments are met.

One strategy to achieve this is to design robust complaints and grievance mechanisms and deploy them as early as possible in the project. These mechanisms should allow traditional owners and other stakeholders to lodge complaints prior to design and development. This allows developers to make changes and negotiate agreements while it is still reasonably quick and inexpensive to do so.

In 2024, the Clean Energy Council published a best practice guide for the renewable energy industry to support their engagement with First Nations. This included discussion of key principles of best practice for renewables projects with First Nations peoples, including respectful engagement, preservation of cultural heritage, ensuring economic and social benefits are shared and embedding land stewardship and cultural competency. The guide is a useful source of discussion on minimum and best practices around PHES projects.

Regulatory and policy uncertainty: investor confidence and returns

PHES projects are capital-intensive, often requiring decades-long payback periods. This makes them highly sensitive to changing energy policies (eg subsidies), National Electricity Rule amendments and grid connection regulations. Uncertainty or sudden policy reversals can (depending on their revenue solutions) make PHES projects financially challenging, stalling projects before they start or undermining returns for those already under development.

In the early 2000s, Spain heavily subsidised renewable energy (including hydro storage) with generous feed-in tariffs. However, in 2014 the government retroactively cut subsidies, drastically altering financial models.15 Investors suffered severe losses, and litigation followed under international investment treaties.16

While not exclusively PHES-focused, the policy reversal exemplifies how long-term green energy investments can be derailed by changing regulatory landscapes. In Australia, some developers voiced concerns in 2024 over delays in finalising the National Energy Market (NEM) rule changes to accommodate large-scale storage, impacting final investment decisions for several PHES proposals.

These risks should be mitigated to makes PHES projects more attractive to investors and reduce the risk of costly litigation. Consider securing government-backed contracts that have comprehensive termination payment regimes and a diversified capital base so as to reduce the potential impact of adverse policy changes.

Quality issues in the international supply chain

PHES projects require highly specialised skills across multiple domains—civil tunnelling, high-voltage electrical systems, hydro-mechanical equipment installation and digital control integration. The growing pipeline of green infrastructure globally has led to increased competition for a limited pool of experienced contractors and specialist workers, driving up costs and project delays, with the potential for quality or defects risks.

PHES projects, like other complex green energy infrastructure, are particularly reliant on overseas specialists for certain areas of expertise, eg in the areas of design and geotechnical issues, as well as overseas suppliers of specialised components such as turbines and pumps. Components fabricated overseas can present particular quality control issues, leading to the potential for inflated costs, complex liability matrices and litigation, if defects arise.

Case study: Fluor Ltd v Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Ltd [2016] EWHC 2062

This UK case dealt with a contractor who subcontracted the fabrication of monopiles and transition pieces for an offshore windfarm to an overseas supplier. The steel monopiles fabricated by the subcontractor developed cracks prior to installation, costing significant time and money to rectify. The court held that the steel monopiles were not fit for purpose. The case highlights the importance of ensuring that express contractual obligations are in place to ensure that services or components being supplied on a project are fit for purpose.

 

Case study: MT Højgaard A/S v E.On Climate & Renewables UK Robin Rigg East Limited and another [2017] UKSC 59

This lengthy litigation was determined by the UK Supreme Court (the highest Court in the UK) in 2017. The case involved the defective design and installation of foundations at an offshore windfarm. The contract required the contractor to design the foundations in accordance with a specific industry standard which was later found to contain an error. Therefore, although the contractor's design complied with the standard, the foundations failed.

The contract also incorporated technical documentation requiring the foundations to be designed to 'ensure a lifetime of 20 years in every aspect without planned replacement'. The Supreme Court confirmed that the 20-year design life constituted a fitness for purpose obligation and held that the contractor was liable for the costs of repair.

The risk of increased costs flowing from defective or damaged components can be mitigated by securing well-drafted warranties from both suppliers and installers as to the fitness of their products. Warranties should include the right for the developer to fix defects and recover costs and would ideally be supported by indemnities. It is essential to have the appropriate warranties to seek to avoid unexpected costs and disputes if components fail.

Actions you can take now

We have acted on all of the most significant PHES projects in Australia. PHES projects offer significant opportunities, but they require careful navigation. Failure to prepare for geotechnical, environmental, regulatory and interface complexities means that significant delay, cost and disputes can ensue where risks are not properly managed and addressed. If you are a developer or contractor exploring PHES options, it's important to:

  • Choose contract models carefully: consider collaborative approaches and price adjustment mechanisms to manage cost and delay risks in long-duration projects.
  • Plan for geotechnical uncertainty: conduct thorough site investigations and use geological baseline reports to clearly define and allocate subsurface risk in contracts.
  • Clarify technology interface responsibilities: ensure clear roles and coordination between contractors, technology providers and network operators to avoid integration issues.
  • Engage early on grid connection: collaborate with AEMO and network providers early to identify potential grid and commissioning challenges.
  • Build in regulatory lead times: factor in approvals and environmental assessments early, and allocate risks of delay clearly between parties.
  • Consult early with Indigenous stakeholders: begin engagement well before design is finalised, and establish grievance mechanisms to surface issues early.
  • Embed ESG and cultural heritage commitments: go beyond compliance where needed and align with best practice standards to avoid reputational and legal risk.
  • Stay alert to policy shifts: monitor regulatory changes that could affect project viability or investor returns, and consider how contracts can account for future uncertainty.